Arthur Hayes predicts that Fed rate cuts will continue in 10 days and claims that the bottom formation of the bitcoin price around $77,000 is already in place.
With former Bitmex CEO Arthurs Hayes predicting Fed rate cuts on April 1 following yesterday’s FOMC meeting, the price of bitcoin may soon regain its lost impetus. The US Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates at 4.5% for the time being caused a 3.5% increase in Bitcoin and a significant spike in altcoin prices.
Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin price bottom and Fed rate cuts.
Arthur Hayes, CEO of BitMEX, said that the recent decline in Bitcoin’s price to $77,000 may be the market’s bottom in response to the FOMC meeting. Hayes pointed to the end of QT (quantitative tightening) by April 1 and the possibility of positive momentum driven by the return of QE (quantitative easing) or an exception to the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR).
ToU.S. tariffs pressure Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell into implementing policies that support the Trump administration, Hayes also forecast that the US share market slump may continue. “Remain agile and capitalized,” Hayes said. US President Donald Trump posted the following on Truth Social.
BTC action and M2 money supply
The price of Bitcoin recovered quickly after yesterday’s FOMC meeting, rising 3.5% and reaching $87,000. According to well-known expert IncomeSharks, Bitcoin has recovered from the supertrend support. However, BTC has to close above the $86,351 diagonal barrier to restart its upward trajectory.
Additionally, the recent increase in the M2 money supply may shortly be followed by the price movement of Bitcoin. For several reasons, M2 is predicted to increase over time. Its strong association with Bitcoin and power-law leverage factor of 9 suggest that even little shifts in liquidity can have a significant effect on the price of BTC. Additionally, according to the price forecast statistics, Bitcoin will reach $90,000 by the middle of April.
For example, the price of Bitcoin may more than double with a 10% increase in liquidity. However, spot Bitcoin ETF inflows have started up again, with BlackRock’s IBIT leading the way.
After the FOMC meeting, cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, have also demonstrated strength. In the past day, leading cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin (DOGE), Solana (SOL), Ethereum (ETH), and XRP have recovered 4–10%.
Will the US Fed end QT in April?
Some market analysts think the Fed may be the first to blink if the effects of the Trump trade war worsen and cause the US economy to slow down. “The median participant projects that the appropriate level of the Fed Funds Rate will be 3.9% at the end of this year and 3.4% at the end of next year, unchanged from December,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters on Wednesday.
Benjamin Cowen, a well-known cryptocurrency expert, responded to Arthur Hayes by disputing the notion that QT will end by April 1. Cowen addressed the issue, explaining that although QT has been modified, the situation is still far from resolved.
According to Cowen, “QT is not ‘basically over’ on April 1st.” He clarified that the Federal Reserve continues to use mortgage-backed securities to reduce its balance sheet by $35 billion per month. The process is still going on even if QT’s monthly pace has decreased from $60 billion to $40 billion.
Notcoin (NOT) launches Not Games amidst a sharp decline in TON users
The company that created Notcoin, Lost Dogs, and Not Pixel, Open Builders, has revealed that Not Games will debut in March. Through the introduction of games where users may earn tokens for free, the initiative seeks to revive the Notcoin (NOT) ecosystem.
This proposal was unveiled by Open Builders at a time when TON’s user base has declined to its lowest level in a year and interest in mini-games based on Telegram has drastically decreased.
Notcoin (NOT) seeks to renew user interest through not games
Open Builders explained in a press statement that Not Games is not a stand-alone Telegram game. Rather, it is a networked gaming environment that connects many games.
Game Profiles, shared inventories, and an in-game marketplace where users may exchange goods will all be included in this ecosystem by Open Builders. The NOT token now has a wider range of applications thanks to this mechanism, which is anticipated to turn it from a straightforward tap-to-earn incentive into a significant asset in the gaming industry.
“Instead of fragmented tokenomics, Not Games will integrate NOT as the primary currency for purchases, upgrades, and rewards across all games. Every three weeks, the most skilled players will compete for rewards in NOT, ensuring a play-to-win experience, rather than a pay-to-win model.” – the Notcoin team.
As of right now, Open Builders has released the game VOID and stated that at least five more are in the works.
Tap-to-earn and TON’s shrinking user base
In 2024, Notcoin (NOT) became extremely popular because of the tap-to-earn trend and initiatives like Yescoin, TapSwap, and Blum, as well as Hamster Kombat (HMSTR). 35 million gamers signed up for Notcoin in the first half of 2024.
However, according to Google Trends statistics, interest in Notcoin has drastically decreased and is almost nonexistent by 2025.
The Notcoin Community’s Telegram membership has also decreased by around 2 million since the year started, according to Tgstat statistics.
Despite NOT’s mid-February debut on Kraken, its price only experienced a tiny increase on the day of listing before continuing to decline and reaching new lows in 2025. This implies a decline in investor interest in NOT.
Additionally, daily active addresses on The Open Network (TON) have decreased from 2.4 million in October 2024 to barely 130,000 as of this writing, according to Artemis statistics.
One of the biggest obstacles to Notcoin’s (NOT) attempts to create a sustainable ecosystem is the dwindling number of TON users.
Analysts reveal XRP price path to $5 as Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit ends
Amid the settlement of the Ripple v. SEC litigation, the price of XRP breaches a long-term trend. Analysts forecast a surge to $5 and the impact of XRP ETFs.
The price of XRP has shown a breakthrough above a long-term declining trendline, suggesting the potential for a further bullish run. Prices might rise as a result, according to experts, with estimations reaching a $5 objective. The recent conclusion of the Ripple v. SEC lawsuit, which significantly affected the price of XRP, has intensified this upswing.
XRP price signals bullish momentum amid Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit resolution
Analyst Dark Defender quickly responded to the news of the Ripple lawsuit’s resolution by discussing the implications for the Ripple coin. The bulls’ predictions are being revealed by the crossover above the long-term declining trend. The breakout was validated by a robust green candlestick, indicating significant buying pressure.
Fibonacci retracement levels provide solid support for more gains with the current rally. The price of XRP is expected to surpass $3.40 and $3.78 before hitting the $5 mark, according to analysts. Following a protracted period of consolidation, the momentum change coincides with the resolution of the Ripple v. SEC litigation, which has been pending for more than five years.
Follow the White Rabbit!$XRP on the Daily Chart.
We knew the news would follow. Some believed some did not.
It doesn’t matter, in the end.
Roads are Clear, Skies are Blue.
Cheers!#Ripple #XRPArmy pic.twitter.com/4ZJhmDUBya
— Dark Defender (@DefendDark) March 19, 2025
An Elliott Wave structure that predicts a sustained rise in the price of XRP has been presented by market analysts. This study indicates that the asset is in an impulsive wave pattern, indicating the possibility of more gains. The forecast of a robust bullish phase is supported by the breakout from the trendline.
The resolution of the Ripple v. SEC case has removed a major obstacle that has previously limited XRP’s potential expansion.
Concerns over whale accumulation and leverage
Analyst Ali Martinez raised worries about the nature of the Ripple token surge, even if the positive prognosis is still quite strong. According to Santiment data, the price increase was not influenced by big whale investors. The rally’s viability is called into question by the lack of significant whale buildup.
According to additional research, open interest in XRP futures rose by $200 million, indicating a spike in demand that was caused by leverage rather than natural purchases. The market may become more volatile and could undergo corrections when leverage controls price movements.
Watch out! @santimentfeed data shows no big buys from whales in this $XRP pump. However, open interest jumped by $200 million, hinting at a leverage-fueled surge. pic.twitter.com/qZPUtjhvLO
— Ali (@ali_charts) March 19, 2025
Forecast for Ripple prices
There is now more attention on XRP price fluctuations as a result of the breakout over important resistance levels. Technical signs and the outcome of the Ripple v. SEC litigation continue to give analysts hope for a possible rise toward $5.
Furthermore, according to a recent CoinGape study, if the US SEC accepts the 18 XRP ETF applications that are still outstanding, the leading cryptocurrency might rise to $20. This supports Amonyx’s hypothesis that institutional inflows from these ETFs may cause the price of XRP to soar.
The cryptocurrency was trading at $2.51 at the time this post was written, representing a 9% rise over the previous day. Indicating increased market activity, XRP’s 24-hour trading volume also increased by 178.83% to $9.74 billion.
